accuracy of forecast

Q. Has the accuracy of forecasting improved in recent years?

Authors were stimulated by very high accuracy of forecasting with the new approach.

A. Overall, since the 1960's, even with the advances in technology, the accuracy of forecasting has decreased slightly.

Leading indicators have the potential to assist in the correct identification of turning points, as well as to improve the accuracy of forecasting more generally.

But uncertainties persist, partly because there are no comparative data on the large-scale injection of radioactive waste, diminishing the accuracy of forecasts.

John Johnston, manager of the WeatherHawk product line, said that distance affects the accuracy of forecasts.

The weather scientist in charge of the Norman office at the time of the test said the Doppler radar did improve the accuracy of forecasts.

Calculating demand forecast accuracy is the process of determining the accuracy of forecasts made regarding customer demand for a product.

Kesten Green's Conflict Forecasting - See Papers for evidence on the accuracy of forecasts from game theory and other methods.

In statistics, the mean absolute scaled error (MASE) is a measure of the accuracy of forecasts .

The time needed to bring an innovation to the market is nearly always longer than the layman imagines and the accuracy of forecasts by those in the business leaves much to be desired.

Only when decision-makers are armed with better forecasts of future events, when by successive approximation we increase the accuracy of forecast, will our attempts to manage change improve perceptibly.

Privately, however, Administration officials argue that the precise G.N.P. figure is unimportant compared with the accuracy of forecasts about the direction and effects of Soviet economic trends.

While increasing accuracy of forecast models implies that humans may no longer be needed in the forecast process at some point in the future, there is currently still a need for human intervention.

Charles Wolf Jr., dean of the RAND Graduate School in Santa Monica, Calif., has devised a quantitative test for measuring the accuracy of forecasts.

Research has shown that there is little difference between the accuracy of forecasts performed by experts knowledgeable of the conflict situation of interest and that performed by individuals who knew much less.

Larger, institutional users can exploit the increases in spectral, temporal, and spatial resolution and assimilate radiances for use in prediction models, increasing the timeliness and accuracy of forecast products.

The system is at the heart of a $1 billion modernization plan that the National Weather Service expects will improve the accuracy of forecasts, especially for severe storms, and issue them further in advance.

While early research tended to focus solely on measuring emotional forecasts, subsequent studies also began to examine the accuracy of forecasts, revealing that people are surprisingly poor judges of their future emotional states.

Improving Accuracy of Forecasts Dr. Gale agreed that outside the Chernobyl area it would be impossible for epidemiologists to detect any increase in the incidence of cancer resulting from the accident.

In the 15 years that I have been associated with the effort to seriously study and anticipate the future, I have witnessed a steadily increasing demand for solid predictions, but no appreciable improvement in the accuracy of forecasts.

The machine, which is planned to reach a theoretical peak speed of more than 100 trillion calculations a second by 2009, will be used to increase the accuracy of forecasts of weather, floods and ocean conditions by National Centers for Environmental Prediction, part of the National Weather Service.