Right now, according to most polls, Kerry is leading by 11 points.
In early 2004, Kerry was leading in every poll against Bush, sometimes even reaching 50%.
However in the summer, Kerry was still leading in most of the polls but the gap was very small.
In the last 3 polling average, Kerry lead 49% to 47%, but with Bush winning 2 of 3.
Kerry led Bush outside the margin of error at 49 percent to 43 percent.
Coming up to the long whistle Kerry were leading by two points, albeit against the run of play.
As the game entered injury time Kerry were leading by two points.
With seven minutes remaining, Kerry were leading by four points and a victory looked very likely the Kingdom.
Kerry had the upper hand for much of the game and were leading by two points with two minutes left to be played.
The final 3 polls averaged Kerry leading 54% to Bush with 41%.