In some ways, the dynamic is similar in each race: an incumbent with some clear vulnerabilities fighting an anti-incumbent tide.

In South Carolina, meanwhile, Mr. Hodges is doing his best to brace himself against such an anti-incumbent tide.

He is an incumbent running against an anti-incumbent tide and an opponent who is a political newcomer.

A survey of voters as they left polling places yesterday hinted that Ms. Holtzman may be a beneficiary of the anti-incumbent tide.

(c) - The anti-incumbent tide may be greatly exaggerated.

We also worked hard and had wonderful volunteers, maybe 75 to 100, but we just couldn't overcome the anti-incumbent tide.

The fundamental question is: How strong is the anti-incumbent tide?

If the anti-incumbent tide is as strong as some people think it is, I will be swept out, despite all the efforts.

If the anti-incumbent tide is a lot of conversation, but has no center of gravity as a true political movement, then I'll be just fine.

Still, at a time when the public views all of Congress with displeasure, some analysts say Mr. Pombo could be washed out in an anti-incumbent tide.