Export growth will slow across Asia and we may see financial shocks coming through.
Thus the drop in production, they argue, can be attributed to the financial shock of unification.
If this seems steep, take heed of our tips to avoid financial shocks on your summer break.
A political or financial shock in international markets could wipe out a trader's position while she sleeps.
And a very nasty financial shock awaits those who will lose their jobs.
The economy also seems well buffered against a domestic financial shock.
But today's economy is better equipped to handle financial shocks.
Instead, they argue that what small nations need is insulation from global financial shocks.
'It was a big financial shock - the dole only just about covered our household food bill,' he says.
It was founded in response to the financial shock caused by the revolution of February 1848.