But other government analysts take a much more conservative approach.
For years, Government analysts warned that the project was in trouble.
"I don't think they will lose all of their airplanes right away," a Government analyst said.
Government analysts put the cost lower, at $25 billion to $35 billion.
The contents of the boy's stomach were sent to a government analyst for further examination.
And it could be information not available to government analysts and the people they normally talk to.
"Maybe the party leadership is looking to improve its image," said one American Government analyst.
"What they've done is very unusual," a American Government analyst said.
He is generally supported in this view by the Government analysts.
But if the drought continues to be severe, Government analysts say the cost could be higher.