A mean estimate of the discharge coefficient from whistle field tests is 0.72 (range 0.69 - 0.74).
But if there is such as strike, it could produce 600 million to 9.2 billion barrels of oil, with the mean estimate 3.2 billion barrels.
The simulation is repeated 100 times to get the mean estimate and its standard deviation.
The mean estimate of analysts was for earnings of 81 cents a share.
According to the latest government estimates, the mean estimate of economically recoverable oil in the plain is 3.2 billion barrels.
Wall Street had expected 85 cents a share, according to the mean estimate of analysts surveyed by First Call.
The mean estimate by analysts had been 72 cents.
They had a mean estimate of 41 cents a share.
If mean estimates are accurate, the 1002 area would produce at most only about 4 percent of the country's oil demand in the year 2005.
The mean estimate of five analysts surveyed by Zacks was for 86 cents a share.