Labor has consistently returned over 65% of the two-party preferred vote in recent years (see table).
This was enough for her to defeat Howard by 2.8 percentage points on the two-party vote.
It revealed a national two-party preferred vote for Labor of 51.6 percent.
Labor has never got less than 58 percent of the two-party vote in a general election.
The specific outcome it predicts is the Republicans' share of popular two-party vote.
The election saw the Coalition win 52 percent of the two-party vote.
Labor has never tallied less than 60 percent of the two-party vote.
The 2002 state election saw the Democrats receive 46 percent of the two-party preferred vote.
My latest prediction shows that Bush will receive 57.5 percent of the two-party votes.
Instead, he received merely 46.5 percent of the two-party vote and lost.